Jay bird,
I thoguht that tires change pressures in the cold morning and afternoon not because of the moisture, but because of the addition or reduction of kinetic energy(from the change in ambient temperature,sulnight, friction etc) to air molecules contained in the tire and the resulting increase of force against the tire and anything it touches. I can see how moisture would affect this as you said but for anything short of drastically cold (32 degrees) temperatures i think that boyles law as it applies to gasses would be much more relevent than small amounts of water vapor, water or ice.
just my .02 correct me if im wrong
Tim