Strick's snow in the yard report

KiwiBird

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#16
Bummer to hear Strick, chin up mate.
 

E-Ticket

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#17
WaltCMoto said:
.... Im thinkin positive here, we have a way to go on the melt, but its looking good
We agree!
Short of it being really bad -- Susan and I are going. Cheers! - rb
 

Tony Eeds

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#18
Strick:

Sorry to hear about your burdens. Please know we will help in an way we can, if only listen.

I am planning on arriving on Thurday afternoon and will be glad to help out any way that you need.
 

Strick

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#19
The snow is melting guys, just not as quick as we would like. There is no snow forcast. I we would hit our average temps between now and then, we would have to deal with dust - just kidding!

Everything will be fine.
 

E-Ticket

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#20
Strick said:
The snow is melting guys....... Everything will be fine.

:yeehaw: - RandyB
 

gnarlykaw

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#21
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
945 PM PST SAT FEB 5 2005

.UPDATE...
NO UPDATES PLANNED THIS EVENING. FIRST OF TWO SHORTWAVES WAS MOVING
INTO THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING WITH A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN MID AND
HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE. 06/00Z KREV SOUNDING SHOWED A NEARLY SATURATED
PROFILE BETWEEN H5-H3 AND FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS WERE IN COMPLETE
AGREEMENT THAT THE DRY LAYER BELOW THIS WOULD MOISTEN OVERNIGHT.
THUS NOT TOO CONFIDENT THAT FREEZING FOG WILL BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH
TO WARRANT CURRENT ADVISORY. THERE WILL BE SOME BREAKING IN THE
CLOUDS BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE AFTER 14Z SUNDAY MORNING SO THAT SOME
FREEZING FOG MAY DEVELOP. HOWEVER GREATLY WEAKENED INVERSION UNDER
TROUGH WILL MAKE FOG SHORTLIVED IF IT DOES MATERIALIZE WITH PERHAPS
A LOW STRATUS DECK HANGING ON IN THE CARSON AND HUMBOLDT SINKS. WILL
ALLOW MORE TIME TO MONITOR TRENDS OVERNIGHT AND SEE IF THE ADVISORY
CAN BE PULLED WITH THE MORNING PACKAGE. OTHERWISE THIS FIRST SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN SUNDAY.
UPSTREAM SYSTEM STILL FORECAST TO DROP ACROSS AREA SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW A MORE EASTERLY TRACK WITH SYSTEM. THE ETA
IS THE WETTEST SOLUTION AND BRINGS NEARLY ONE HALF INCH OF QPF TO
THE HIGH SIERRA AROUND TAHOE WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE. HOHMANN

.SHORT TERM...EARLIER DISCUSSION
TWO UPSTREAM SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS. THE SECOND WAVE WHICH COMES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD
FINALLY SCOUR OUT THE VALLEYS AND GET RID OF THE FOG AND HAZE. THE
FIRST IS NEAR 40N 130W WILL MOVE INLAND TONIGHT...AND HAVE LITTLE
EFFECT ON THE VALLEY INVERSIONS...ESPECIALLY IN ZONES 1 AND 4 WHERE
THEY ARE STRONGEST. HOWEVER SOME VERTICAL MOTION AND ADDITIONAL
COOLING ALOFT SHOULD BREAK UP THE SHALLOW INVERSIONS IN ZONES 3...5
AND 71. THEREFORE ONLY HAVE EXTENDED THE FREEZING FOG ADVISORY FOR
ZONES 1 AND 4. WILL LEAVE SOME PATCHY FOG WORDING FOR ZONES 3...5
AND 71 AS NOT ALL THE INVERSIONS WILL GET MIXED OUT.

THE SECOND WAVE WILL GET HERE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND LOOKS MUCH LESS
IMPRESSIVE :cool: THAN IT DID IN YESTERDAY RUNS. THE TRACK IS FARTHER EAST
WITH THE MAIN UPPER LOW PASSING FROM EASTERN OREGON INTO CENTRAL
NEVADA. BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW IS IN ZONES 4 AND 5...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS NEAR OR JUST BELOW SNOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. IT IS
POSSIBLE THE SIERRA AND RENO-CARSON AREA MAY GET NOTHING :cool: FROM THIS
SYSTEM IF THE TRACK REMAINS OVER CENTRAL NEVADA. DRYER AND WARMER
CONDITIONS WITH NO VALLEY INVERSIONS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BRONG

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
AN UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL SIERRA AND
WESTERN NEVADA ON WEDNESDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SLIGHTLY FASTER
WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN THE CANADIAN AND NOGAPS ARE. THE NOGAPS
HOWEVER INDICATES A DEEPER TROUGH THAN DO THE OTHER THREE MODELS.
THE GFS...EURO AND NOGAPS ALL BRING THE UPPER TROUGH THROUGH THE
REGION ON THURSDAY. THE CANADIAN IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS LACKING ON THURSDAY SO THE MAIN THING WE WILL SEE IS
INCREASING CLOUDINESS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. THE GFS BRINGS A
JET MAX THROUGH NRN CA/SRN ORE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE KREV CWFA WOULD BE
ON THE ANTICYCLONIC SIDE OF THE JET MAX SO THIS WOULD HELP TO
SUPPRESS ANY UVV. THE MAIN EFFECT FROM THIS FEATURE WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS IN OUR NORTHERN ZONES. O'HARA
 

Tony Eeds

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#22
I guess noone has ever told the government that they should not SHOUT.
 

gnarlykaw

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#24
basicly that the snow they said for sunday and monday was incorrect. the storm petered out.