Ferry's had the worst of luck. I was picking him to be the one pressuring Carmichael this year, and that definitely would have happened had he not dropped a couple lungs.;)
I disagree that he can't beat Carmichael. The only reason he sort of faded at Daytona was that he'd been on the couch or hospital bed most of this season. That 426 is definitely as fast, if not faster than Carmichael's CR. If Ferry can just get back into that seriously incredible shape required to keep up with RC, he can beat him any day.