AJ,
The factories wanted MotoGP to move to four-strokes for the same reason dirt bikes are moving that way: now all their R&D money spent on racing has applications outside of closed-course competition. Two-strokes are dead as a street technology. So pouring R&D money into them in racing makes little sense. Why invest millions into 500GP, with no corresponding street payoff in R&D (or marketing "halo" effect)? What you learn with four-strokes in MotoGP can be applied to the street product lines. Or in Honda's case, what they learn in F1 can be trickled down to all their other products.
Now that same R&D knowledge can be applied to the dirt bike lines since they use the same four-stroke technologies.
But you're points about costs and profits are also quite valid.
As for exhaust emissions, that one isn't quite cut and dried. Two-strokes are notoriously bad on hydrocarbon (HC) emissions due to burning premix. Four-strokes don't emit nearly as much HC emissions as a pinger. Also keep in mind that the EPA could screw up a wet dream, so assuming these folks know good science (or their ass from a hole in the mud) is a BAD assumption. In fact, in more than one case it has been pointed out that they have either IGNORED data they didn't like or cooked the data to get the conclusion they wanted. After all, if they announced that the emissions "problem" was fixed and was good enough, they'd all then have to find real jobs. See examples of the EPA requiring discharge water from plants to be cleaner than the water they took into the plant in the first place. As in, run a pipe into a river and back out again and you're in violation of EPA requirements on the discharge end.
Sound science and the EPA rarely collide in the same sentence.
The factories wanted MotoGP to move to four-strokes for the same reason dirt bikes are moving that way: now all their R&D money spent on racing has applications outside of closed-course competition. Two-strokes are dead as a street technology. So pouring R&D money into them in racing makes little sense. Why invest millions into 500GP, with no corresponding street payoff in R&D (or marketing "halo" effect)? What you learn with four-strokes in MotoGP can be applied to the street product lines. Or in Honda's case, what they learn in F1 can be trickled down to all their other products.
Now that same R&D knowledge can be applied to the dirt bike lines since they use the same four-stroke technologies.
But you're points about costs and profits are also quite valid.
As for exhaust emissions, that one isn't quite cut and dried. Two-strokes are notoriously bad on hydrocarbon (HC) emissions due to burning premix. Four-strokes don't emit nearly as much HC emissions as a pinger. Also keep in mind that the EPA could screw up a wet dream, so assuming these folks know good science (or their ass from a hole in the mud) is a BAD assumption. In fact, in more than one case it has been pointed out that they have either IGNORED data they didn't like or cooked the data to get the conclusion they wanted. After all, if they announced that the emissions "problem" was fixed and was good enough, they'd all then have to find real jobs. See examples of the EPA requiring discharge water from plants to be cleaner than the water they took into the plant in the first place. As in, run a pipe into a river and back out again and you're in violation of EPA requirements on the discharge end.
Sound science and the EPA rarely collide in the same sentence.